3 Results
Some midterm polls were on-target – but finding which pollsters and poll aggregators to believe can be challenging
Jan 24 2023
By Joseph Campbell, author of Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential ElectionsThis post was originally published on The Conversation and is reprinted here with permission.Pollsters indulged in breezy self-congratulation in the aftermath of the 2022 midterm elections. Pre-elec
Lost in a Gallup: Revisiting the final hours of the 2016 campaign
Oct 19 2020
This excerpt from Lost in Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential Elections revisits the many confident expressions about Hillary Rodham Clinton’s candidacy in the final days and hours before the 2016 general election. A close outcome seemed possible, but her defeat was implausible. Clinton won
When noted journalists bashed political polls as nothing more than ‘a fragmentary snapshot’ of a moment in time
Oct 07 2020
by W. Joseph Campbell, author of Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential ElectionsThis post was originally featured in The Conversation, and has been reblogged with permission.Poll-bashing – the aggressive, even extreme lambasting of pollsters and their work – used to be b