The dynamics of international relations in Asia are undergoing broad and fundamental changes that are reverberating around the world. Primary among the catalysts of change in the region is the rise of China as the engine of regional economic growth, as a major military power, as a significant voice in regional diplomacy, and as a proactive power in multilateral institutions. With in-depth assessments by seventeen of the world’s leading experts on China’s foreign relations, this groundbreaking volume offers the most timely, up-to-date, and comprehensive analysis of China’s emerging influence on international relations in Asia.
The contributors explore the various dimensions of China’s rise, its influence on the region, the consequences for the United States, and alternative models of the evolving Asian order. What emerges is a clear picture of China increasingly at the center of the regional web; while North Korean and Taiwan could erupt in conflict, the predominant trend in Asia is the creation of an extensive web of mutual interdependence among states and non-state actors. Providing the best overview we currently have of the changing political balance on the Asian continent, this accessible volume will be essential reading for anyone concerned with contemporary Asian affairs.
Introduction: The Rise of China and Asia’s New Dynamics
PART ONE: CHINA AND THE CHANGING ASIAN LANDSCAPE
1. Return to the Middle Kingdom? China and Asia in the Early Twenty-first Century
2. China’s Regional Strategy
Zhang Yunling and Tang Shiping
PART TWO: THE ECONOMIC DIMENSION
3. China’s Regional Trade and Investment Profile
4. China’s Regional Economies and the Asian Region: Building Interdependent Linkages
Robert F. Ash
PART THREE: POLITICS AND DIPLOMACY
5. China-Japan Relations: Downward Spiral or a New Equilibrium?
Mike M. Mochizuki
6. China’s Ascendancy and the Korean Peninsula: From Interest Reevaluation to Strategic Realignment?
Jae Ho Chung
7. Taiwan Faces China: Attraction and Repulsion
8. China and Southeast Asia: The Context of a New Beginning
9. China’s Influence in Central and South Asia: Is It Increasing?
John W. Garver
10. China and Russia: Normalizing Their Strategic Partnership
PART FOUR: SECURITY
11. China’s Evolving Regional Security Strategy
12. China’s Regional Military Posture
Michael D. Swaine
PART FIVE: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE UNITED STATES
13. China’s Regional Strategy and Why It May Not Be Good for America
14. China’s Rise in Asia Need Not Be at America’s Expense
David M. Lampton
PART SIX: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE ASIAN REGION
15. The Transformation of the Asian Security Order: Assessing China’s Impact
Jonathan D. Pollack
16. The Evolving Asian Order: The Accommodation of Rising Chinese Power
David Shambaugh is Professor of Political Science and International Affairs and Director of the China Policy Program at the Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University. He is also a Non-Resident Senior Fellow in Foreign Policy Studies at the Brookings Institution. He has written and edited many books, including Modernizing China’s Military: Progress, Problems, and Prospects (California, 2004), Making China Policy: Lessons from the Bush and Clinton Administrations (2001), The Modern Chinese State (2000), and The China Reader: The Reform Era (1999).
“[THE] EXCEPTIONALLY WELL-ORGANIZED AND CLEARLY FOCUSED PRODUCT OF A SCHOLARLY CONFERENCE ON THE RISE OF CHINESE POWER”—Foreign Affairs
"This is an extremely important and valuable volume. The analysis is fresh and compelling throughout, and the material reflects the contributors' broad knowledge and sensitivity to ongoing developments in the region."—T.J. Pempel, director, Institute of East Asian Studies, University of California, Berkeley
"There is no competing work with this breadth, depth, up-to-date coverage, and absolute top drawer of China specialists. Superior scholarship is apparent in the high level of insight and information throughout this outstanding, superbly written work." —Allen Whiting, The University of Arizona
"In a time of rapid Chinese ascendancy, it is fortunate to have a comprehensive treatment of China's position in Asia by a group of prominent scholars. While new developments are constantly taking place in this revolutionary era, these essays are well researched, balanced, and insightful—providing an excellent basis from which to assess what is to come."—Robert A. Scalapino, Robson Research Professor of Government Emeritus, University of California, Berkeley
"This stimulating book is admirably suited for those seeking a better understanding of the underlying issues relating to China's expanding power and an informed basis for assessing the widely divergent views that are being expressed on the subject. Professor Shambaugh has assembled an outstanding roster of world-class scholars on China whose contributions are noteworthy for their readability, their careful marshaling of relevant facts, and their interpretive insights. The result is this superb volume."—J. Stapleton Roy, former U.S. Ambassador to China, Indonesia, and Singapore
"This outstanding collection of essays, written by leading scholars from around the world, takes an unusually comprehensive look at the subject, addressing China's growing economic clout and diplomatic influence as well as its impact on regional security. It also makes an important contribution to the growing debate over the consequences of China's rise for American interests. This volume is essential reading for anyone interested in Chinese foreign policy or the international relations of the Asia-Pacific region."—Harry Harding, University Professor, The George Washington University