Times Series Analysis in the Social Sciences is a practical and highly readable introduction written exclusively for students and researchers without a mathematical background beyond basic algebra. The book focuses on fundamental elements of time series analysis that social scientists need to understand to employ time series analysis for their research and practice. Through step-by-step explanations and using monthly violent crime rates as case studies, this book explains univariate time-series from the preliminary visual analysis through the modeling of seasonality, trends, and residuals, to the prediction and evaluation of estimated models. The book also explains smoothing, multiple time series analysis, and interrupted time series analysis. With a wealth of practical advice and supplemental data sets for students to apply their knowledge, this flexible and friendly primer is suitable for all students in the social sciences.
Youseop Shin is Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science and International Studies at Yonsei University.
"Youseop Shin has provided a practical primer on conducting time series analysis. Written without mathematical proofs, the book presents in sequence the steps involved in time series analysis and describes appropriate tests, systematically showing how to deal with the complexities that arise in analyzing longitudinal data. Shin methodically takes the reader through actual examples with numerous figures, using the same examples across chapters to illustrate time series analysis."—Herb Weisberg, Academy Professor of Political Science, The Ohio State University
"This book does a nice job of providing an accessible yet methodologically rigorous introduction to the potential of time series analysis. It makes good use of examples to illustrate how the time series analyst's toolkit might be deployed to address problems and questions across a range of fields, while providing the reader with a thorough treatment of statistical concepts."—Will Jennings, Professor of Political Science and Public Policy, University of Southampton
“Instead of simply writing an instruction manual for particular software, Youseop Shin has crafted a guide that helps the reader understand one’s own work better.”—Brad Lockerbie, Professor of Political Science, East Carolina University